Monday, September 14, 2009
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Cubs chances
Hey man, those are some cool stats you got there.
According to coolstats.com, the Cubs have a 29% chance of making the playoffs.
DIV - chance of winning the Division
WC - chance of winning the Wild Card
POFF - chance of making the Playoffs
From www.coolstats.com
WC - chance of winning the Wild Card
POFF - chance of making the Playoffs
From www.coolstats.com
How do we calculate these statistics? Basically we simulate the rest of the season millions of times, based on every team's performance to date and its remaining schedule. We then look at how many "seasons" a team won its division or won the wildcard, and voila - we have our numbers.
The trick, of course, is to determine what chance each team has of beating every other team. Our method is to use simple team statistics (e.g. runs scored and runs against) to predict how each team will fare against all others. For those of you familiar with baseball prediction, we use a variation of the Bill James "Pythagorean Theorem" to predict results. Pretty smart, huh? That's why we call this prediction mode "Smart mode".
Another method is to simply assume that any team has a 50-50 shot of beating any other team. You could flip a coin to decide who would win each game. This method isn't too realistic, but it usually gives Chicago teams a better shot at the division. For lack of a better term, we call this prediction mode "Dumb mode".
The trick, of course, is to determine what chance each team has of beating every other team. Our method is to use simple team statistics (e.g. runs scored and runs against) to predict how each team will fare against all others. For those of you familiar with baseball prediction, we use a variation of the Bill James "Pythagorean Theorem" to predict results. Pretty smart, huh? That's why we call this prediction mode "Smart mode".
Another method is to simply assume that any team has a 50-50 shot of beating any other team. You could flip a coin to decide who would win each game. This method isn't too realistic, but it usually gives Chicago teams a better shot at the division. For lack of a better term, we call this prediction mode "Dumb mode".
Thursday, July 2, 2009
Alfonso Soriano is probably the farthest thing from being gayyy
Alfonso Soriano
Watch this horrible train wreck of an interview. It's a train wreck so gruesome, you won't be able to stop watching. Why is our $136 million dollar left fielder subjected to such an awful dinner? He was probably so embarrassed for his interviewer that he went 0-4 the next day.
This video sparked a strong and revealing curiosity from one peace-loving Cubs fan.
Nowar2008 "Is he gay?"
Which then prompted this swift response from our injured 3rd baseman
CUBBIES16RAMIREZ "are you serious, you think alfonso soriono is gay?????? damn you probably say you are a cub fan, but you dont even watch the cubs or follow the cubs. alfnso is probably the farthest thing of being gayyy"
Tempers then flared when one viewer's comments took a sudden turn towards the horribly offensive.
chaaoos "soriano is sort of a beast. like, if he had stayed healthy a couple of certain seasons, he could have hit 50. he talks funny...I'd like to hear him speak Japanese lol"
Duckcedes "uhhhh.... he talks funny cause english not his native tongue..."
chaaoos "uhhhh....no shit English isn't his native tongue, Captain Obvious. Spanish and Japanese were because he played in Japan before coming to the MLB. uuuhhhh, did you know that? uuuuhhh"
Duckcedes "OK jackass thanks for the info!"
chaaoos "no problem, douche bag!"
Watch this horrible train wreck of an interview. It's a train wreck so gruesome, you won't be able to stop watching. Why is our $136 million dollar left fielder subjected to such an awful dinner? He was probably so embarrassed for his interviewer that he went 0-4 the next day.
This video sparked a strong and revealing curiosity from one peace-loving Cubs fan.
Nowar2008 "Is he gay?"
Which then prompted this swift response from our injured 3rd baseman
CUBBIES16RAMIREZ "are you serious, you think alfonso soriono is gay?????? damn you probably say you are a cub fan, but you dont even watch the cubs or follow the cubs. alfnso is probably the farthest thing of being gayyy"
--------------------------------------------------
Tempers then flared when one viewer's comments took a sudden turn towards the horribly offensive.
chaaoos "soriano is sort of a beast. like, if he had stayed healthy a couple of certain seasons, he could have hit 50. he talks funny...I'd like to hear him speak Japanese lol"
Duckcedes "uhhhh.... he talks funny cause english not his native tongue..."
chaaoos "uhhhh....no shit English isn't his native tongue, Captain Obvious. Spanish and Japanese were because he played in Japan before coming to the MLB. uuuhhhh, did you know that? uuuuhhh"
Duckcedes "OK jackass thanks for the info!"
chaaoos "no problem, douche bag!"
----------------------------------------
Sam Fuld
we knew there'd be a day when a nice energetic young man,
who works the count like a leadoff hitter,
who makes pitchers nervous when he's standing on first base,
who slaps singles and doubles all over the field
who plays his position like the next error sends him home to live with mom and dad
we knew you would come for us
we knew there'd be a day when a nice energetic young man,
who works the count like a leadoff hitter,
who makes pitchers nervous when he's standing on first base,
who slaps singles and doubles all over the field
who plays his position like the next error sends him home to live with mom and dad
we knew you would come for us
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